The next one or two years is the critical period of economic bottoming mia farrow

The next one or two years is the critical period of economic bottoming text of China’s economy, the forum for the people of Liu Shijin in the next two years, it should be said to be able to touch the bottom, or is the key period to reach the bottom of the 50. During this time, we should pay special attention to the effects of instability and uncertainty. If the real estate is indeed a relatively large bubble, when the bubble burst, the economic restructuring will bring a very big impact. The next one or two years is the critical period for the economy to reach the bottom of the sustainable development of the global governance structure, I simply talk about the idea of the three. First, China’s structural reform and stable development are essential to the stability and development of the global economy. In the past, we often talked about the impact of the international economic situation on China’s economy? But in recent years, we have come to realize that the Chinese economy is a vital part of the global economy. Chinese current GDP accounted for the global economy a total of more than 15%, Chinese past two or three years more than 26% contribution to global economic growth, how to reform, how China development pattern of the impact on the global economy and in the past have been greatly different. Speaking of this, I would like to say a simple point of view, how to look at the current economic situation in china. After the three quarter data released, we have a basic judgment, China’s economy after the correction of the past 6 years, is now very close to the bottom, so do not be too pessimistic about the Chinese economy. From the demand side, our high growth is mainly driven by high investment, so the bottom of the demand side to touch the bottom of the main investment. Real estate some time ago appeared relatively fast growth, even in parts of the bubble, but the historical peak Chinese real estate investment has emerged, in the months after the real estate investment will be gradually transferred to the lower or even negative growth. This is understandable. In this case, from the demand side is basically the bottom touch. From the supply side, to the production capacity has made some progress, especially in the adjustment of the expected results have been produced, mainly reflected in the changes in the two indicators. In September this year, the producer price is PPI after more than and 50 months later from negative to positive, meanwhile, had more than 1 years of negative growth in profits of industrial enterprises to positive growth, and profitability of the most recent industry is good, this is the sign of the bottom of the supply side significantly. Generally speaking, I think the Chinese economy is very close to the bottom. Of course, close to the bottom is not the same thing with the real bottom, but I think, in the next two years, it should be said to be able to touch the bottom, or is the key to achieve the bottom. During this time, we should pay special attention to the effects of instability and uncertainty. For example, the real estate problem. If the real estate is a relatively large bubble when the bubble burst, financial risk, financial pressures, and the impact on income distribution, especially whether short-term or long-term, medium-term, transformation of economic bottom will bring very big impact. Of course, after a year or two, we are able to reach the bottom of the game, the process of bottoming out in the past相关的主题文章:

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